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ASCO 2011 Abstract on CALGB 9581
Validation of a 12-gene colon cancer recurrence score (RS) in patients (pts) with stage II colon cancer (CC)
from CALGB 9581.

Author(s): A. P. Venook, D. Niedzwiecki, M. Lopatin, M. Lee, P. N. Friedman, W. Frankel, K. Clark-Langone, C. Yoshizawa, C. Millward, S. Shak, R. M. Goldberg, N. N. Mahmoud, R. L. Schilsky, M. M. Bertagnolli, Cancer and Leukemia Group B; University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA; Duke University, Durham, NC; Genomic Health, Redwood City, CA; Cancer and Leukemia Group B, Chicago, IL; The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA; The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL; Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA.
Background:
The 12-gene RS (Genomic Health, Inc.) has been shown to predict risk of recurrence in stage II colon cancer (CC) pts in QUASAR. We conducted a validation study in tumor specimens from pts enrolled in CALGB 9581, which found no difference for edrecolomab (MoAb 17-1A) v. observation in 1672 pts with, on average, low risk stage II CC (14% 5-yr recurrence.)
Methods:
Cohort sampling included all pts with available tissue and recurrence and random pts w/o recurrence (3:1 ratio). Gene expression was analyzed by RT-PCR using FFPE from primary tumor. Mismatch repair (MMR) protein status (D= Deficient; I= Intact) was assessed by IHC for MLH1 and MSH2. Primary aim: prognostic value of continuous RS alone and in presence of MMR and traditional clinical/pathologic prognostic variables. A weighted Cox proportional hazards model was used to test the association between RS and recurrence-free interval (RFI) based on a Wald-type test statistic constructed using a weighted partial likelihood estimate and robust variance estimate.
Results:
Tumor was available for 1361/1672 (81%) pts. RT-PCR was successful in 690 (162 recurrences) of 736 pts (21% MMR-D, 35% > 70 yrs old, 47% < 12 nodes.) The continuous RS was significantly associated with RFI in univariate analysis (hazard ratio (HR)/ 25 units, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.09-2.12; p=0.01). MMR-D was also associated with RFI (HR, 0.62; 95%CI, 0.39-0.99; p=0.04); # nodes examined and lymphovascular invasion (LVI) were borderline significant (both p=0.06). In a pre-specified multivariate analysis w/ MMR, T-stage, nodes examined, grade, and LVI, RS was the only significant predictor of recurrence (HR/25 units=1.68, 95%CI 1.18-2.38; p=0.004). Recurrence risk at 5 yrs increased as RS increased and among subgroups defined by T-stage and MMR. In pts with T3, MMR-I tumors (n=488) pre-specified low (44% of pts RS < 29), intermediate (33%), and high (22% w/ RS > 39) RS groups had average 5-yr recurrence risks of 13%, 16%, and 21%, respectively.
Conclusions:
In 9581, RS improves the ability to discriminate higher from lower recurrence risk stage II CC pts beyond known prognostic factors, particularly in T3, MMR-I pts where traditional factors like grade and LVI were not prognostic.
A PDF version of the CALGB 9581 poster is available here.
CALGB 9581 Summary
CALGB 9581: Second Successful Prospectively-Designed Validation Study:
  • Confirms the performance of the Oncotype DX Colon Cancer Assay, previously validated in QUASAR as a predictor of recurrence risk in stage II colon cancer
  • In CALGB 9581, a phase III prospectively-designed US cooperative group clinical trial, the continuous 12-gene RS was significantly associated with the risk of recurrence, providing value beyond conventional markers
CALGB 9581: A Unique Opportunity to Test in Low/Standard Risk Stage II Colon Cancer
  • Sampling design with 690 evaluable patients, including 162 recurrence events, representative of 1672 stage II colon cancer patients from CALGB 9581
  • Age and nodal sampling reflective of contemporary clinical practice
  • Low/standard recurrence risk population; excluded patients with pT4b stage, perforation, obstruction, positive margins
  • A population where risk discrimination is challenging with conventional clinical and pathologic factors

CALGB 9581: RS Predicts Risk of Recurrence Beyond Traditional Clinical and Pathologic Covariates

CALGB 9581: Improving the Ability to Discriminate High vs. Low risk of Recurrence in Standard Risk Stage II Colon Cancer
  • For standard risk patients with T3, N0, MMR-P tumors, a high Recurrence Score can reveal an underlying biology indicative of more aggressive disease for which adjuvant therapy may be more appropriate
  • The Oncotype DX Colon Cancer Assay identified 22% of patients with average risk of recurrence at 5 years above 20%, thus improving the ability to discriminate high from low recurrence risk stage II colon cancer patients beyond known prognostic factors
A PDF summary of the CALGB 9581 study is available here.
To listen to Dr. Steve Shak review the ASCO 2011 data on the CALGB 9581 study, please click here.
To download the slides from the post ASCO review, please click here.
Genomic Health